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Football Predictor

Decision Technology's football predictor website provides up-to-date forecasts and ranking systems for English club football. The forecasts and rankings are generated by a statistical model of football matches, the input to which is more than five years' worth of football scores incorporating more than 10,000 games.

Our statistical model uses time-weighted shots and goals data to generate an attack and defence ranking for each club. The different divisions are calibrated by using data from cup matches. The number of goals scored by a club in a match depends on the attack rating of the club and the defence rating of the opposition. There is also a home advantage rating, which allows for the fact that clubs score more goals when playing at home.

To launch the predictor, click here.